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The Tax Number on the Listing Is Not Your Tax Bill

Buyer Resources

The Tax Number on the Listing Is Not Your Tax Bill

If you are buying new construction, the property tax figure on the listing is wrong. Not misleading, not optimistic — wrong, by about four times.

I pulled the assessed tax of record against the actual sale price on 60,250 closings across Dallas–Fort Worth. Here is what it looks like sorted by how old the house was when it sold.

Bar chart of listed property tax as a share of sale price by age of house, jumping from 0.38 percent on brand-new houses to 1.93 percent at two years old.

The tax on a new-construction listing is the assessment on a vacant lot. The house arrives on the roll in year two.

Age when it sold

Sales

Tax as % of price

Median tax shown

Brand new

324

0.38%

$1,920

1 year old

480

0.61%

$3,118

2 years old

898

1.93%

$8,406

3 years

1,378

2.00%

$8,478

4 to 5 years

3,381

2.02%

$8,439

11+ years

46,915

1.84%

$6,767

It is not a gradual climb. It is a cliff, and it falls in the same place every time.

Why it happens

Texas appraisal districts assess property as of January 1. A house that was framed in March and closed in September was a vacant lot on the assessment date, so the tax record attached to it reflects dirt. The following January the district puts the house on the roll, and the bill becomes a real one.

Nobody is hiding anything. The listing reports the tax record that exists. It just happens that on a new house, that record describes a lot with nothing on it.

What it costs

The median new build in this data sold for $450,000.

 

Rate

Per year

Per month

What the listing showed

0.46%

$2,054

$171

What it becomes

1.86%

$8,362

$697

Difference

+1.40 pts

+$6,308

+$526

Five hundred and twenty-six dollars a month. At today's rates that is the payment gap between a $450,000 house and a $533,000 one. And it usually does not arrive as a letter you were expecting — it arrives as an escrow analysis that raises your payment and bills you for the months you underpaid.

So before you write an offer on new construction: call the county appraisal district and ask what the assessment will be once the house is on the roll. Budget from that number. It takes one phone call and it is the difference between comfortable and stretched.

What the rate really is, town by town

Now strip out everything under six years old, so every house has been fully assessed for years, and compare markets honestly.

Horizontal bar chart of effective property tax rate across 30 Dallas-Fort Worth markets, from Granbury at 1.09 percent to Kennedale and Crowley at 2.08 percent.

Tax billed as a share of sale price, houses 6+ years old, before homestead exemptions.

The range is 1.09% to 2.08%. On a $400,000 house that is $4,360 a year in Granbury against $8,320 in Kennedale — a difference of $3,934 a year, or $328 a month, for the same house.

The low end: Granbury at 1.09%, then Decatur 1.29%, Southlake 1.30%, Springtown 1.34%, Colleyville 1.35%, Grapevine 1.38%.

The high end: Arlington 1.97%, Fort Worth 2.04%, Burleson 2.06%, Mansfield 2.06%, Crowley 2.08%, Kennedale 2.08%.

But low tax does not mean cheap

Here is the part that trips people up. Across these 30 markets, the tax rate and the median price run in opposite directions. Southlake and Colleyville are near the bottom of the rate table — at medians of $1.31 million and $979,000.

That is just how ad valorem taxation works. A jurisdiction with a large, expensive tax base funds itself at a lower rate. One with a modest base cannot. So a low rate is often a symptom of expensive housing rather than a break on it.

Which makes the real exceptions worth naming. Granbury is 1.09% on a $392,500 median — low rate and moderate price together. Decatur is 1.29% on $400,000. Springtown is 1.34% on $365,000. Those three are genuinely inexpensive to own rather than merely cheap to tax.

What you actually pay each month

Rate alone is the wrong comparison. What matters is principal, interest and tax together. Here is the median house in each market at 20% down and a 6.5% rate, with the unexempted tax added:

Market

Median price

P&I

Tax

Total

Cleburne

$259,000

$1,310

$382

$1,692

Alvarado

$272,000

$1,375

$343

$1,718

Crowley

$290,000

$1,466

$502

$1,968

Azle

$316,750

$1,602

$447

$2,049

Joshua

$327,000

$1,653

$411

$2,064

Arlington

$326,000

$1,648

$536

$2,184

Springtown

$365,000

$1,846

$408

$2,253

Fort Worth

$338,000

$1,709

$575

$2,284

Granbury

$392,500

$1,985

$358

$2,343

Weatherford

$380,000

$1,921

$485

$2,407

Decatur

$400,000

$2,023

$431

$2,453

Mansfield

$415,000

$2,098

$714

$2,812

Midlothian

$444,000

$2,245

$650

$2,895

Grapevine

$575,000

$2,908

$663

$3,570

Aledo

$566,250

$2,863

$812

$3,675

Keller

$656,000

$3,317

$853

$4,170

Granbury has the lowest rate on the list and still costs more per month than Cleburne, Alvarado, Crowley, Azle, Joshua or Arlington — because the houses cost more. Rate is one input, not the answer.

One thing about these numbers

Every figure here is the tax billed before exemptions, divided by what the house actually sold for. Your bill with a homestead exemption will be lower.

I did it that way on purpose. Exemptions attach to the owner, not the property — two identical houses across the street carry different bills depending on who lives in them and how old they are. Taking exemptions out is the only way to compare jurisdictions rather than residents. To turn any figure here into your likely bill, subtract the exemptions you qualify for, which the appraisal district can confirm.

If your assessment looks too high

A protest is not an argument that the district was sloppy. It is an argument about what your property was worth on January 1 of that tax year, supported by comparable sales as of that date. That is a retrospective valuation with a fixed effective date, and it either rests on real comparable analysis or it doesn't.

I do that work through my appraisal practice, and the fee is never contingent on the outcome. If you want the technical version — why an appraisal district value and a market value are different exercises, and what an ARB hearing actually turns on — it's here: the tax number on the listing is not your tax bill.

Buying around Fort Worth

I'm a Texas broker and a Certified Residential Appraiser, which means when we're comparing two towns I can tell you what the houses actually cost to own rather than what they list for — and on new construction, what the payment becomes in year two.

Browse active listings in this price range, or call or text (682) 207-4310, or send me a note.

Based on NTREIS closed sales carrying an assessed tax of record across Dallas–Fort Worth, 2023 through September 2026 — 60,250 closings. Rates are the tax billed before exemptions divided by the actual sale price, reported as market-level medians. They are not published jurisdictional rates and a single address may sit in a different combination of taxing districts than its market median implies. Monthly figures assume 20% down and a 6.5% fixed rate and exclude insurance, HOA and mortgage insurance. Tax rates and exemptions change annually. Nothing here is tax advice or an appraisal; confirm any figure with the county appraisal district and your tax advisor.

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